Ohio State to hire Bill O’Brien as executive.

What Ohio State’s additions of Bill O’Brien, Ross Bjork and a loaded roster mean for Ryan Day

Ohio State isn’t one of those places where the phrase national championship or bust typically applies.The Buckeyes are in the national championship hunt every season. They have had one losing season in the 21st century. Yet 2024 is starting to feel like one of those seasons, given the off-season put together by the program after a third consecutive loss to Michigan and a dismal performance in the Cotton Bowl Classic loss to Missouri.

Ohio State might be ranked No. 1 in the preseason, and that is going to put pressure on Ryan Day to deliver a national championship. Give Day credit. This won’t be the same-old look. The Buckeyes will have a new quarterback and offensive coordinator on the field and a new athletic director off the field. The Buckeyes made significant changes in order to get that national championship back in Columbus.

Day seemingly answered the five biggest questions heading into 2024 in rapid succession:

 Ohio State to hire Bill O’Brien as executive coordinator 

Will Bill O’Brien and Ryan Day mesh?

This is a bold hire because it means Day won’t be calling plays this season—a duty he has not relinquished since taking over as head coach in 2019.

How will the offensive play-calling duties shake out? O’Brien has been an offensive coordinator on two separate occasions for Bill Belichick in New England and was Alabama’s offensive coordinator in 2021 and 2022. Alabama averaged 39.6 points per game in 2021, when Bryce Young won the Heisman Trophy, and 41.6 points per game the following season. Those are impressive credentials, and they are also an indication that O’Brien did not come to Ohio State to be a back-seat play-caller to Day.

Where does that leave current offensive coordinator Brian Hartline? There is no question that Hartline is one of the best recruiters in the country. He has assembled one of the best receiver-to-the-NFL pipelines ever since taking over that position group in 2018, but he was not the play-caller as the offensive coordinator last season.

That relationship between these three coaches is worth watching. Remember when Jimbo Fisher hired Bobby Petrino last offseason at Texas A&M? This hire has that kind of magnitude. Fisher is out of a job, and Petrino is the offensive coordinator at Arkansas now.

How will Will Howard and Quinshon Judkins change the offense?

Look for Ohio State to revert back to being a 60/40 offense.

What does that mean? Look at how the run-pass ratio has declined from Day’s first two seasons at Ohio State to the present day.

Ohio State Run/Pass ratio under Ryan Day

YEAR RUSH ATT YARDS PASS ATT YARDS RUN/PASS
2019 663 3,735 406 3,684 62:38
2020 345 2,055 225 2,100 61:39
2021 423 4,952 494 2,344 46:54
2022 466 2,501 410 3,878 53:47
2023 431 1,805 400 3,498 52:48

Ohio State has gone away from the running game too much. Now, one could argue that when you have first-round quarterbacks like C.J. Stroud and receivers such as Garrett Wilson, Chris Olave, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Marvin Harrison Jr., you have to air it out.

Yet Fields was the quarterback in 2019 and 2020. It’s OK to keep the running game going at a 60/40 clip. Howard, a Kansas State transfer, played in an offense that had a 56:44 run/pass ratio last season. He had 81 rushing attempts last season. Howard can be efficient in the passing game with that talent at receiver, which includes Emeka Egbuka, Carnell Tate, and more up-and-coming five-star talent.

Yet this offense should run through Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson. Judkins averaged 1,365 rushing yards and 15 TDs on 5.0 yards per carry the last two seasons at Ole Miss. Henderson averages 6.2 yards per carry for his career with the Buckeyes. There is no reason not to lean into what should be a dominant running game. Of course, the offensive line has to be better this season in order for that to happen.

Look for O’Brien to manage that challenge well for the Buckeyes.

MORE: Can Kalen DeBoer keep Alabama as a top-5 program?

Will Ohio State have the best defense in the FBS?Probably. Ohio State (11.2 ppg.) had the second-best scoring defense in the FBS behind Michigan (10.4 ppg.) this season. Defensive coordinator Jim Knowles is back for a third season, and several key pieces turned down the NFL to return to school.

Defensive tackle Tyliek Williams and edge rushers J.T. Tuimoloau and Jack Sawyer are back. Those three combined for 14.5 sacks and 27 tackles for loss. Cornerback Denzel Burke and defensive tackle Ty Hamilton also stayed for another year.

The Buckeyes essentially could be a carbon copy of what Michigan was this season—a veteran group that carries the team to a national championship. Knowles did his best work at Oklahoma State in his third and fourth years with the program. Look for this unit to be even better.

How does new AD Ross Bjork change the dynamic at Ohio State?

Bjork is going to enhance Ohio State’s NIL game. He was at Texas A&M when the 12th Man Foundation, an independent fundraising arm of the athletic department to help facilitate NIL deals, was formed. Bjork likely will continue to push Ohio State in that space, and his background at two SEC institutions—he was the AD at Ole Miss from 2012–19—means he will be instrumental in keeping Ohio State up on the external factors that make recruiting more difficult in the NIL and transfer portal eras.

Bjork also gave Fisher an extension worth $9 million per season at Texas A&M before firing him this season. Bjork was hired a year after Fisher. So, at least in the short term, Bjork’s presence does not affect Day that much yet.

Still, Ole Miss had two coaches under Bjork: Hugh Freeze and Matt Luke. Bjork hired Mike Elko this season at Texas A&M after reportedly nearly hiring Mark Stoops. The combined record of those two teams under Bjork’s watch was 91-69. Ohio State is 139-17 in the same stretch.

This is a huge step up for Bjork, too.

Will Ohio State beat Michigan in 2024?

It’s not national championship or bust. The 12-team College Football Playoff creates some new variables where it will be more difficult to win three to four CFP games.

That said, the Buckeyes cannot lose a fourth straight game to Michigan. That has not happened since a brutal stretch from 1988–91 under John Cooper. The Buckeyes were 27-18-2 in that four-year stretch.

Day is 56-8 and has never lost more than two games in a single season. The Cooper comparisons are silly, to be honest, but the Wolverines have taken control of The Game and are coming off their first national championship season since 1997.

Ohio State has a home game against Oregon (Oct. 12) and a trip to Penn State (Nov. 2) next season, but no game looms larger than Michigan on Nov. 30. The Wolverines will have heavy losses to the 2024 NFL Draft, and Jim Harbaugh might be headed to the NFL. This is not a game that Day can lose and not feel a significant impact on the following season, given all the changes made in Columbus.

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